Analysis: The Presidential Race Is Close. Get Used To It
The expected Clinton-Trump presidential race is no blowout. It may well be one by the time November rolls around, but right now the polls show a close race that is following similar patterns to recent elections.
In this respect the polls are upending conventional wisdom as the general election phase approaches, just as they did throughout the primaries. Pundits, including data-driven ones like Nate Silver, didn’t think Donald Trump would be the GOP nominee, despite polls showing him ahead of the pack for months. With the primary mostly in the rear view mirror, already some are predictingthat Hillary Clinton will easily cruise to victory over Trump in November.
But the polls, again, are saying not so fast.
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